/North Dakota
1954 North Dakota State Senate Race · 47 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
George Kowalski won 24 of 47 seats
George Kowalski24 seats
Katherine Bell23 seats
Final Results225.8k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 115.3k | 51.1% | 24 |
 Democratic Party | 110.5k | 48.9% | 23 |
Persuasion Drivers
NDWhy North Dakota voters lean toward George Kowalski over Katherine Bell. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Katherine Bell's vote can be persuaded across to George Kowalski, and 20.0% of George Kowalski's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
George KowalskiKatherine Bell