/South Dakota
1954 South Dakota State Senate Race · 35 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Ronald Thompson won 18 of 35 seats
Ronald Thompson18 seats
Jessica Becker17 seats
Final Results231.3k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 116.9k | 50.5% | 18 |
 Democratic Party | 114.5k | 49.5% | 17 |
Persuasion Drivers
SDWhy South Dakota voters lean toward Ronald Thompson over Jessica Becker. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jessica Becker's vote can be persuaded across to Ronald Thompson, and 20.0% of Ronald Thompson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Ronald ThompsonJessica Becker