Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
Farmer-Labor Party | 126.8k | 54.3% | 16 |
Democratic Party | 106.7k | 45.7% | 13 |
Why Utah voters lean toward Patrick Weiss III over Betty Wood. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Betty Wood's vote can be persuaded across to Patrick Weiss III, and 20.0% of Patrick Weiss III's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.