/West Virginia
1954 West Virginia State Senate Race · 34 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Jason Pierce won 18 of 34 seats
Jason Pierce18 seats
Ashley Thompson16 seats
Final Results712.2k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 380.6k | 53.4% | 18 |
 Democratic Party | 331.6k | 46.6% | 16 |
Persuasion Drivers
WVWhy West Virginia voters lean toward Ashley Thompson over Jason Pierce. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jason Pierce's vote can be persuaded across to Ashley Thompson, and 20.0% of Ashley Thompson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Jason PierceAshley Thompson