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1956 Ohio House Race · 23 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Tally
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Projected seat allocation
Karl Kautsky leads with 13 of 23 seats
Karl Kautsky13 seats
Rgold10 seats
Seats update each turn from the current vote count, using largest-remainder allocation. Final allocation is set when the election closes.
Live Vote Tally2.97M votes cast · 46 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62M | 54.5% | 13 | |
| 1.35M | 45.5% | 10 |
Persuasion Drivers
OHWhy Ohio voters lean toward Karl Kautsky over Rgold. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Rgold's vote can be persuaded across to Karl Kautsky, and 20.0% of Karl Kautsky's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Presidential Popularity-0.8%
Gubernatorial Coattails+1.2%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Karl KautskyRgold