/Ohio
1954 Ohio House Race · 23 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Rgold won 12 of 23 seats
Rgold12 seats
Karl Kautsky11 seats
Final Results3.37M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.78M | 52.8% | 12 | |
| 1.59M | 47.2% | 11 |
Persuasion Drivers
OHWhy Ohio voters lean toward Rgold over Karl Kautsky. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Karl Kautsky's vote can be persuaded across to Rgold, and 20.0% of Rgold's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
RgoldKarl Kautsky