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1958 AT_NOE nationalrat
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally112.0k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Andrew HallNPP Sozialistische Partei Österreichs | 35.4k | 31.6% |
 Carmen JonesNPP Österreichische Volkspartei | 32.3k | 28.9% |
 Verband der Unabhängigen | 26.9k | 24.1% |
 Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 17.3k | 15.5% |
Persuasion Drivers
AT_NOEWhy AT_NOE voters lean toward Carmen Jones over Andrew Hall. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Andrew Hall's vote can be persuaded across to Carmen Jones, and 20.0% of Carmen Jones's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Andrew HallCarmen JonesMary WashingtonElena Washington