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1958 AT_OOE nationalrat
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally102.0k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Sozialistische Partei Österreichs | 29.3k | 28.7% |
 George ShahNPP Verband der Unabhängigen | 28.6k | 28.0% |
 Österreichische Volkspartei | 26.4k | 25.9% |
 Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 17.7k | 17.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
AT_OOEWhy AT_OOE voters lean toward George Shah over Frances Banks. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Frances Banks's vote can be persuaded across to George Shah, and 20.0% of George Shah's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Maria O'BrienGeorge ShahFrances BanksMatthew Fitzgerald