/SN
1954 SN Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results3.94M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58M | 40.2% | |
 Egon MoellerNPP Liberal-Demokratische Partei Deutschlands | 640.2k | 16.3% |
 Christlich-Demokratische Union (Ost) | 598.6k | 15.2% |
 Jutta SchmidNPP National-Demokratische Partei Deutschlands | 559.5k | 14.2% |
 Demokratische Bauernpartei Deutschlands | 556.8k | 14.1% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
SNWhy SN voters lean toward Angela Merkel over Guenter Lorenz. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+1.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Guenter Lorenz's vote can be persuaded across to Angela Merkel, and 20.0% of Angela Merkel's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 1.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Angela MerkelEgon MoellerGuenter LorenzJutta SchmidDieter Winter