/FR_EST
1956 FR_EST assembleeNationale
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results2.39M votes cast · 26 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Parti communiste français | 535.8k | 22.4% |
 Section française de l'Internationale ouvrière | 523.0k | 21.9% |
 Mouvement républicain populaire | 503.4k | 21.1% |
 Rassemblement du peuple français | 419.2k | 17.5% |
 Rassemblement des gauches républicaines | 407.5k | 17.1% |
Persuasion Drivers
FR_ESTWhy FR_EST voters lean toward Eric Bertrand over Xavier Dufour. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Xavier Dufour's vote can be persuaded across to Eric Bertrand, and 20.0% of Eric Bertrand's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Christian ArnaudPhilippe PetitEric BertrandSebastien VidalXavier Dufour