/FR_IDF
1956 FR_IDF assembleeNationale
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results4.03M votes cast · 26 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mouvement républicain populaire | 951.3k | 23.6% |
 Rassemblement des gauches républicaines | 811.4k | 20.1% |
 Rassemblement du peuple français | 779.0k | 19.3% |
 Section française de l'Internationale ouvrière | 777.0k | 19.3% |
 Parti communiste français | 713.7k | 17.7% |
Persuasion Drivers
FR_IDFWhy FR_IDF voters lean toward Chantal Morin over Marc Marchand. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Marc Marchand's vote can be persuaded across to Chantal Morin, and 20.0% of Chantal Morin's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Chantal MorinMarc MarchandChristiane GirardRaymond GautierMonique Blanchard