/FR_NOR
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1953 FR_NOR assembleeNationale
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results2.63M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mouvement républicain populaire | 701.1k | 26.6% |
 Section française de l'Internationale ouvrière | 567.9k | 21.6% |
 Rassemblement des gauches républicaines | 545.6k | 20.7% |
 Rassemblement du peuple français | 447.4k | 17.0% |
 Parti communiste français | 372.5k | 14.1% |
Persuasion Drivers
FR_NORWhy FR_NOR voters lean toward Julien Dumont over Thierry Meunier. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.8 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Thierry Meunier's vote can be persuaded across to Julien Dumont, and 20.0% of Julien Dumont's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.8 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
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Thierry MeunierJulien DumontBernard BarbierPatrick BonnetEvelyne Dupuy