/FR_OUE
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1953 FR_OUE assembleeNationale
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results2.74M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mouvement républicain populaire | 769.0k | 28.0% |
 Section française de l'Internationale ouvrière | 619.1k | 22.6% |
 Rassemblement des gauches républicaines | 521.8k | 19.0% |
 Rassemblement du peuple français | 504.8k | 18.4% |
Parti communiste français | 330.3k | 12.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
FR_OUEWhy FR_OUE voters lean toward Caroline Olivier over Jeanne Leclerc. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jeanne Leclerc's vote can be persuaded across to Caroline Olivier, and 20.0% of Caroline Olivier's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
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Jeanne LeclercCaroline OlivierCecile ClementMuriel BourgeoisJean-Marc Roux