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1958 GR_ISL vouli
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally70.9k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Rebecca LaneNPP Ellinikos Synagermos | 32.6k | 46.0% |
 Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 22.8k | 32.2% |
 Paul ClarkNPP Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 15.5k | 21.8% |
Persuasion Drivers
GR_ISLWhy GR_ISL voters lean toward Rebecca Lane over David Phillips. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.3 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of David Phillips's vote can be persuaded across to Rebecca Lane, and 20.0% of Rebecca Lane's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Rebecca LaneDavid PhillipsPaul Clark