Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Jose PorterNPP Ellinikos Synagermos | 672.8k | 41.4% |
Nancy DiazNPP Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 544.8k | 33.5% |
Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 407.5k | 25.1% |
Why GR_MAC voters lean toward Jose Porter over Nancy Diaz. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Nancy Diaz's vote can be persuaded across to Jose Porter, and 20.0% of Jose Porter's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.5 pts of that movable slice.