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1958 GR_MAC vouli
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally118.7k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Nancy DiazNPP Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 51.0k | 43.0% |
 Jose PorterNPP Ellinikos Synagermos | 47.9k | 40.4% |
 Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 19.7k | 16.6% |
Persuasion Drivers
GR_MACWhy GR_MAC voters lean toward Nancy Diaz over Jose Porter. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.2 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jose Porter's vote can be persuaded across to Nancy Diaz, and 20.0% of Nancy Diaz's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Nancy DiazJose PorterSamantha Fischer