Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Ellinikos Synagermos | 359.7k | 36.9% |
Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 356.1k | 36.5% |
Raj PierceNPP Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 259.6k | 26.6% |
Why GR_PEL voters lean toward Tyrone Reynolds over Barbara Fischer. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Barbara Fischer's vote can be persuaded across to Tyrone Reynolds, and 20.0% of Tyrone Reynolds's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.