Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 30.0k | 42.6% |
Ellinikos Synagermos | 27.9k | 39.7% |
Raj PierceNPP Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 12.5k | 17.8% |
Why GR_PEL voters lean toward Barbara Fischer over Tyrone Reynolds. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Tyrone Reynolds's vote can be persuaded across to Barbara Fischer, and 20.0% of Barbara Fischer's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.