/COR
1954 COR Dáil Race · 21 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results201.8k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 74.6k | 37.0% |
 Fine Gael | 65.0k | 32.2% |
 Labour | 62.2k | 30.8% |
Persuasion Drivers
CORWhy COR voters lean toward Niall Kennedy over Patrick Murray. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Patrick Murray's vote can be persuaded across to Niall Kennedy, and 20.0% of Niall Kennedy's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Niall KennedyPatrick MurrayEoin Sullivan