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1953 DON Dáil Race · 12 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results101.8k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 63.8k | 62.7% |
 Barry PhelanNPP Fine Gael | 20.5k | 20.1% |
 Ciara CaseyNPP Labour | 17.5k | 17.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
DONWhy DON voters lean toward Barry Phelan over Eilis Collins. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-1.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Eilis Collins's vote can be persuaded across to Barry Phelan, and 20.0% of Barry Phelan's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -1.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Eilis CollinsBarry PhelanCiara Casey