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1953 GAL Dáil Race · 15 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results150.5k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 78.5k | 52.1% |
 Liam MurrayNPP Labour | 43.2k | 28.7% |
 Fine Gael | 28.9k | 19.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
GALWhy GAL voters lean toward Deirdre Brennan over Liam Fitzgerald. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-1.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Liam Fitzgerald's vote can be persuaded across to Deirdre Brennan, and 20.0% of Deirdre Brennan's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -1.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Liam FitzgeraldLiam MurrayDeirdre Brennan