/GAL
1954 GAL Dáil Race · 15 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results154.0k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fine Gael | 56.4k | 36.6% |
 Liam MurrayNPP Labour | 39.9k | 25.9% |
 Fianna Fáil | 30.4k | 19.7% |
 Fianna Fáil | 27.3k | 17.8% |
Persuasion Drivers
GALWhy GAL voters lean toward Liam Fitzgerald over Deirdre Brennan. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+1.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Deirdre Brennan's vote can be persuaded across to Liam Fitzgerald, and 20.0% of Liam Fitzgerald's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 1.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
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Deirdre BrennanLiam MurrayLiam FitzgeraldDiarmaid Healy