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1953 LIM Dáil Race · 16 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results141.3k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 66.2k | 46.8% |
 Tadhg FoleyNPP Labour | 53.5k | 37.8% |
 Dermot FlynnNPP Fine Gael | 21.7k | 15.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
LIMWhy LIM voters lean toward Dermot Flynn over Eoin McCarthy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Eoin McCarthy's vote can be persuaded across to Dermot Flynn, and 20.0% of Dermot Flynn's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Eoin McCarthyTadhg FoleyDermot Flynn