/LIM
1958 LIM Dáil Race · 16 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results154.1k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Tadhg FoleyNPP Labour | 57.2k | 37.1% |
 Fianna Fáil | 38.2k | 24.8% |
 Dermot FlynnNPP Fine Gael | 29.6k | 19.2% |
 Fianna Fáil | 29.1k | 18.9% |
Persuasion Drivers
LIMWhy LIM voters lean toward Eoin McCarthy over Dermot Flynn. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Dermot Flynn's vote can be persuaded across to Eoin McCarthy, and 20.0% of Eoin McCarthy's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Tadhg FoleyCillian PhelanDermot FlynnEoin McCarthy