1953 MID Dáil Race · 11 seats

Completed

Final Election Results

Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.

Final Results56.8k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share
Pearse ConnollyNPP Fianna Fáil	33.2k	58.4%
Bridget McKennaNPP Labour	12.2k	21.4%
Cillian McKennaNPP Fine Gael	11.4k	20.1%

Candidate

Pearse ConnollyNPP

Fianna Fáil

Votes

33.2k

58.4%

Candidate

Bridget McKennaNPP

Labour

Votes

12.2k

21.4%

Candidate

Cillian McKennaNPP

Fine Gael

Votes

11.4k

20.1%

Persuasion Drivers

MID

FocusOpponent

Why MID voters lean toward Cillian McKenna over Pearse Connolly. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment-0.9 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency0.0 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Pearse Connolly's vote can be persuaded across to Cillian McKenna, and 20.0% of Cillian McKenna's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.9 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Pearse ConnollyBridget McKennaCillian McKenna