/MID
1958 MID Dáil Race · 11 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results61.4k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Labour | 18.6k | 30.4% |
 Ciara WhelanNPP Fianna Fáil | 16.4k | 26.8% |
 Fine Gael | 13.7k | 22.3% |
 Fianna Fáil | 12.6k | 20.6% |
Persuasion Drivers
MIDWhy MID voters lean toward Ciara Whelan over Bridget McKenna. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.9 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Bridget McKenna's vote can be persuaded across to Ciara Whelan, and 20.0% of Ciara Whelan's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.9 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Bridget McKennaCiara WhelanGerard McCarthyPearse Connolly