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1953 WEX Dáil Race · 14 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results96.9k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 44.2k | 45.5% |
 Mark PhelanNPP Labour | 36.0k | 37.2% |
 Fine Gael | 16.8k | 17.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
WEXWhy WEX voters lean toward Garrett O'Connor over Patrick Sullivan. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Patrick Sullivan's vote can be persuaded across to Garrett O'Connor, and 20.0% of Garrett O'Connor's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Patrick SullivanMark PhelanGarrett O'Connor