/WEX
1954 WEX Dáil Race · 14 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results99.9k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fine Gael | 34.1k | 34.1% |
 Mark PhelanNPP Labour | 32.1k | 32.1% |
 Fianna Fáil | 17.1k | 17.1% |
 Fianna Fáil | 16.6k | 16.6% |
Persuasion Drivers
WEXWhy WEX voters lean toward Patrick Sullivan over Garrett O'Connor. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Garrett O'Connor's vote can be persuaded across to Patrick Sullivan, and 20.0% of Patrick Sullivan's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Garrett O'ConnorMark PhelanFionnuala LynchPatrick Sullivan