/WEX
1958 WEX Dáil Race · 14 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results107.9k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mark PhelanNPP Labour | 31.4k | 29.1% |
 Fianna Fáil | 28.6k | 26.5% |
 Fianna Fáil | 27.8k | 25.8% |
 Fine Gael | 20.2k | 18.7% |
Persuasion Drivers
WEXWhy WEX voters lean toward Fionnuala Lynch over Garrett O'Connor. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Garrett O'Connor's vote can be persuaded across to Fionnuala Lynch, and 20.0% of Fionnuala Lynch's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Mark PhelanFionnuala LynchSean O'ReillyGarrett O'Connor