/COR
1958 COR Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results251.0k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 116.9k | 46.6% |
 Una KavanaghNPP Labour | 83.8k | 33.4% |
 Donal HealyNPP Fine Gael | 50.2k | 20.0% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
CORWhy COR voters lean toward Donal Healy over Caitriona Smith. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.9 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Caitriona Smith's vote can be persuaded across to Donal Healy, and 20.0% of Donal Healy's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.9 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Caitriona SmithUna KavanaghDonal Healy