/COR
1954 COR Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results236.9k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 94.8k | 40.0% |
 Una KavanaghNPP Labour | 80.4k | 34.0% |
 Eoin MurphyNPP Fine Gael | 61.6k | 26.0% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
CORWhy COR voters lean toward Caitriona Smith over Eoin Murphy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.8 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Eoin Murphy's vote can be persuaded across to Caitriona Smith, and 20.0% of Caitriona Smith's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.8 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Caitriona SmithUna KavanaghEoin Murphy