/DUB
1958 DUB Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results355.0k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Sinead LynchNPP Fianna Fáil | 152.8k | 43.0% |
 Labour | 125.5k | 35.4% |
 Fine Gael | 76.7k | 21.6% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
DUBWhy DUB voters lean toward Sinead Lynch over Stephen Kennedy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+1.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Stephen Kennedy's vote can be persuaded across to Sinead Lynch, and 20.0% of Sinead Lynch's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 1.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Sinead LynchStephen KennedyRuairi McCarthy