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1953 MID Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results66.8k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Ciara WhelanNPP Fianna Fáil | 35.0k | 52.4% |
 Labour | 18.7k | 28.1% |
 Fine Gael | 13.0k | 19.5% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
MIDWhy MID voters lean toward Siobhan Gallagher over Gerard McCarthy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Gerard McCarthy's vote can be persuaded across to Siobhan Gallagher, and 20.0% of Siobhan Gallagher's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Ciara WhelanSiobhan GallagherGerard McCarthy