/MID
1954 MID Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results68.0k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Brigid HayesNPP Fianna Fáil | 25.2k | 37.0% |
 Fine Gael | 23.7k | 34.8% |
 Labour | 19.1k | 28.1% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
MIDWhy MID voters lean toward Gerard McCarthy over Brigid Hayes. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Brigid Hayes's vote can be persuaded across to Gerard McCarthy, and 20.0% of Gerard McCarthy's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Brigid HayesGerard McCarthySiobhan Gallagher