/MID
1958 MID Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results72.0k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Brigid HayesNPP Fianna Fáil | 32.8k | 45.5% |
 Labour | 23.1k | 32.1% |
 Fine Gael | 16.1k | 22.4% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
MIDWhy MID voters lean toward Brigid Hayes over Siobhan Gallagher. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.5 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Siobhan Gallagher's vote can be persuaded across to Brigid Hayes, and 20.0% of Brigid Hayes's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Brigid HayesSiobhan GallagherMark Gallagher