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1960 DON Local Council Race · 21 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally12.2k votes cast · 3 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mary KellyNPP Labour | 4.5k | 36.8% |
 Fine Gael | 2.9k | 23.5% |
 Liam ReillyNPP Fianna Fáil | 2.6k | 21.2% |
Fianna Fáil | 2.3k | 18.5% |
Persuasion Drivers
DONWhy DON voters lean toward Stephen Carroll over Mary Kelly. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Mary Kelly's vote can be persuaded across to Stephen Carroll, and 20.0% of Stephen Carroll's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Gubernatorial Coattails+1.6%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Mary KellyKieran O'CarrollLiam ReillyStephen Carroll