/DON
1955 DON Local Council Race · 21 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results93.9k votes cast · 24 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Liam ReillyNPP Fianna Fáil | 33.6k | 35.7% |
 Fine Gael | 31.6k | 33.7% |
 Mary KellyNPP Labour | 28.7k | 30.6% |
Persuasion Drivers
DONWhy DON voters lean toward Liam Reilly over Kieran O'Carroll. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Kieran O'Carroll's vote can be persuaded across to Liam Reilly, and 20.0% of Liam Reilly's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Liam ReillyKieran O'CarrollMary Kelly