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1960 DUB Local Council Race · 62 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally34.6k votes cast · 3 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Niamh NolanNPP Fianna Fáil | 10.0k | 29.0% |
 Labour | 6.8k | 19.6% |
 Fianna Fáil | 6.1k | 17.8% |
 Joseph NolanNPP Labour | 5.7k | 16.5% |
Fine Gael | 3.7k | 10.8% |
 Fine Gael | 2.2k | 6.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
DUBWhy DUB voters lean toward Mark Cunningham over Caoimhe O'Sullivan. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Caoimhe O'Sullivan's vote can be persuaded across to Mark Cunningham, and 20.0% of Mark Cunningham's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Gubernatorial Coattails+1.5%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Niamh NolanCaoimhe O'SullivanMark CunninghamJoseph NolanColm McCarthyRuairi McCarthy