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1960 GAL Local Council Race · 19 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally18.4k votes cast · 3 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fionn HayesNPP Labour | 6.7k | 36.2% |
 Fianna Fáil | 4.6k | 24.9% |
 Fine Gael | 3.9k | 21.1% |
 Fianna Fáil | 3.3k | 17.8% |
Persuasion Drivers
GALWhy GAL voters lean toward Oisin Maguire over Fionn Hayes. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.2 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Fionn Hayes's vote can be persuaded across to Oisin Maguire, and 20.0% of Oisin Maguire's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Gubernatorial Coattails+0.8%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Fionn HayesThomas MooneyMargaret FitzgeraldOisin Maguire