/GAL
1955 GAL Local Council Race · 19 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results141.3k votes cast · 24 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 51.3k | 36.3% |
 Fine Gael | 50.3k | 35.6% |
 Fionn HayesNPP Labour | 39.6k | 28.1% |
Persuasion Drivers
GALWhy GAL voters lean toward Oisin Maguire over Margaret Fitzgerald. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.8 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Margaret Fitzgerald's vote can be persuaded across to Oisin Maguire, and 20.0% of Oisin Maguire's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.8 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Oisin MaguireMargaret FitzgeraldFionn Hayes