/KIL
PreviousNext
1953 KIL Local Council Race · 26 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results78.7k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 38.2k | 48.5% |
 Oisin CroninNPP Labour | 27.0k | 34.3% |
 Mary CoyleNPP Fine Gael | 13.6k | 17.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward Mary Coyle over Aoife Higgins. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.9 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Aoife Higgins's vote can be persuaded across to Mary Coyle, and 20.0% of Mary Coyle's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.9 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Aoife HigginsOisin CroninMary Coyle