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1960 KIL Local Council Race · 26 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally20.2k votes cast · 6 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Oisin CroninNPP Labour | 7.7k | 38.1% |
 Eilis DoyleNPP Fianna Fáil | 5.1k | 25.2% |
 Fianna Fáil | 4.2k | 20.7% |
 Mary CoyleNPP Fine Gael | 3.2k | 16.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward Eilis Doyle over Oisin Cronin. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Oisin Cronin's vote can be persuaded across to Eilis Doyle, and 20.0% of Eilis Doyle's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Gubernatorial Coattails+0.6%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Oisin CroninEilis DoyleAoife HigginsMary Coyle