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1960 LIM Local Council Race · 18 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally17.6k votes cast · 3 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fine Gael | 4.0k | 22.9% |
 Fianna Fáil | 3.9k | 22.3% |
 Fianna Fáil | 3.6k | 20.2% |
 Labour | 3.4k | 19.1% |
 Labour | 2.7k | 15.5% |
Persuasion Drivers
LIMWhy LIM voters lean toward Maeve McLoughlin over Sophie Kennedy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.5 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.1 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Sophie Kennedy's vote can be persuaded across to Maeve McLoughlin, and 20.0% of Maeve McLoughlin's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Coattail tilts (direct % of vote share)
Gubernatorial Coattails+1.3%
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Declan O'NeillMaeve McLoughlinEithne ReillySophie KennedySiobhan Foley