/IT_SUD
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1953 IT_SUD cameraDeputati
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results3.45M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Bianca LongoNPP Democrazia Cristiana | 958.9k | 27.8% |
 Partito Repubblicano Italiano | 715.3k | 20.7% |
 Matteo CostaNPP Partito Socialista Italiano | 608.0k | 17.6% |
Partito Comunista Italiano | 601.0k | 17.4% |
 Movimento Sociale Italiano | 565.6k | 16.4% |
Persuasion Drivers
IT_SUDWhy IT_SUD voters lean toward Matteo Costa over Marco Moretti. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Marco Moretti's vote can be persuaded across to Matteo Costa, and 20.0% of Matteo Costa's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Bianca LongoRoberta ContiMatteo CostaMaurizio ConteMarco Moretti