/IT_SUD
1958 IT_SUD cameraDeputati
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results3.49M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Bianca LongoNPP Democrazia Cristiana | 893.9k | 25.6% |
 Matteo CostaNPP Partito Socialista Italiano | 840.9k | 24.1% |
 Movimento Sociale Italiano | 605.9k | 17.3% |
Partito Comunista Italiano | 591.3k | 16.9% |
 Partito Repubblicano Italiano | 560.3k | 16.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
IT_SUDWhy IT_SUD voters lean toward Bianca Longo over Maurizio Conte. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.5 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Maurizio Conte's vote can be persuaded across to Bianca Longo, and 20.0% of Bianca Longo's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
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Bianca LongoMatteo CostaMarco MorettiMaurizio ConteRoberta Conti