/SOUTH_SOUTH
1958 SOUTH_SOUTH Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results534.5k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Esther EzehNPP Action Group | 204.7k | 38.3% |
 National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 192.4k | 36.0% |
 Patrick SaniNPP Northern People's Congress | 137.4k | 25.7% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
SOUTH_SOUTHWhy SOUTH_SOUTH voters lean toward Obianuju Adesanya over Esther Ezeh. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Esther Ezeh's vote can be persuaded across to Obianuju Adesanya, and 20.0% of Obianuju Adesanya's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Esther EzehObianuju AdesanyaPatrick Sani