1960 NORTH_EAST House of Representatives Race · 16 seats

General Election

General Election — Live Projection

Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.

Projected seat allocation

Kelechi Sanwoolu leads with 7 of 16 seats

Kelechi Sanwoolu7 seats

Chibuzo Olusegun5 seats

Umar Salisu4 seats

Seats update each turn from the current vote count, using largest-remainder allocation. Final allocation is set when the election closes.

Live Vote Tally207.8k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share	Seats
Kelechi SanwooluNPP Northern People's Congress	89.6k	43.1%	7
Chibuzo OlusegunNPP Action Group	59.2k	28.5%	5
Umar SalisuNPP National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons	59.1k	28.4%	4

Candidate

Kelechi SanwooluNPP

Northern People's Congress

Votes

89.6k

43.1%

Seats

Candidate

Chibuzo OlusegunNPP

Action Group

Votes

59.2k

28.5%

Seats

Candidate

Umar SalisuNPP

National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons

Votes

59.1k

28.4%

Seats

Persuasion Drivers

NORTH_EAST

FocusOpponent

Why NORTH_EAST voters lean toward Chibuzo Olusegun over Kelechi Sanwoolu. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment+0.3 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency-0.3 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Kelechi Sanwoolu's vote can be persuaded across to Chibuzo Olusegun, and 20.0% of Chibuzo Olusegun's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Auto-scaled

Kelechi SanwooluChibuzo OlusegunUmar Salisu