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1960 NORTH_EAST House of Representatives Race · 16 seats
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Projected seat allocation
Kelechi Sanwoolu leads with 7 of 16 seats
Kelechi Sanwoolu7 seats
Chibuzo Olusegun5 seats
Umar Salisu4 seats
Seats update each turn from the current vote count, using largest-remainder allocation. Final allocation is set when the election closes.
Live Vote Tally224.6k votes cast · 27 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Northern People's Congress | 97.1k | 43.2% | 7 |
 Action Group | 63.9k | 28.4% | 5 |
 Umar SalisuNPP National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 63.6k | 28.3% | 4 |
Persuasion Drivers
NORTH_EASTWhy NORTH_EAST voters lean toward Chibuzo Olusegun over Kelechi Sanwoolu. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.3 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Kelechi Sanwoolu's vote can be persuaded across to Chibuzo Olusegun, and 20.0% of Chibuzo Olusegun's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Kelechi SanwooluChibuzo OlusegunUmar Salisu