/NORTH_CENTRAL
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1953 NORTH_CENTRAL Senate Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results1.00M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 340.6k | 33.9% |
 Northern People's Congress | 340.3k | 33.9% |
 Action Group | 322.8k | 32.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
NORTH_CENTRALWhy NORTH_CENTRAL voters lean toward Chika Suleiman over Nnamdi Sanwoolu. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.8 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Nnamdi Sanwoolu's vote can be persuaded across to Chika Suleiman, and 20.0% of Chika Suleiman's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.8 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Nnamdi SanwooluChika SuleimanEmeka Johnson