/NORTH_CENTRAL
1954 NORTH_CENTRAL Senate Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results1.02M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons | 343.9k | 33.9% |
 Northern People's Congress | 343.7k | 33.9% |
Ade AbubakarNPP Action Group | 327.7k | 32.3% |
Persuasion Drivers
NORTH_CENTRALWhy NORTH_CENTRAL voters lean toward Ade Abubakar over Chika Suleiman. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.8 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Chika Suleiman's vote can be persuaded across to Ade Abubakar, and 20.0% of Ade Abubakar's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.8 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Nnamdi SanwooluChika SuleimanAde Abubakar